After going 10-6 in last week's picks, here are the site picks for Week. Winners are picked straight up, but odds are still provided relative to the home team and are bodog-based, via Odds Shark.
New York Jets at Denver Broncos (+7) - While everyone will be scrutinizing the play of Tim Tebow on Thursday night, Mark Sanchez hasn't exactly been very good this season either. The difference in the game will simply be the talent on defense, where the Jets have the clear edge. Pick: Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (+1) - The Browns are coming off a tough loss to the Rams and are still banged up at running back, so in a game where it likely comes down which team will make less mistakes, I'm taking the Jaguars. If they get the lead, Maurice Jones-Drew will allow them to keep it. Pick: Jaguars
Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-7) - Detroit has feasted on bad teams this season, and after an emotionally-charged 37-13 loss to the Bears, the Lions will be ready to play. Expect Matthew Stafford to bounce back in a big way. Pick: Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (-14) - The Bucs are another in a long line of NFL teams that simply don't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. It's not much more complicated than that. Pick: Packers
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins -The Bills looked terrible in last week's road loss to the Cowboys, and the Dolphins have actually been pretty decent with Matt Moore at the helm in recent games. I'm not falling for the recent trends, as the Bills need this game a lot more than the Dolphins. Pick: Bills
Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings (+1) - When the Vikings lean on Adrian Peterson they can be dangerous, but something tells me they will be playing from behind once again and will be forced to throw. This is the week that Carson Palmer really starts to get in a rhythm. Pick: Raiders
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+8) - Division games can always be difficult to decide on, but once again I will take the vastly more powerful offense. Whether it's Rex Grossman or John Beck, the Redskins won't score more than 21 points, and that won't be enough to win. Pick: Cowboys
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-7) - Baltimore looks great one week and then terrible the next. They are a team that is hard to trust, but I still think the Bengals have been the product of a light early-season schedule. The more talented teams the Bengals face, the more they will get exposed as mediocre. Pick: Ravens
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (-1) - The Rams have continued to ride Steven Jackson in the recent weeks, which is always a good decision. Sam Bradford is on the mend and slowly building a rapport with Brandon Lloyd, while the Seahawks are terrible on the road (1-4). Pick: Rams
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-10) - The 49ers defense is too good to allow the Cardinals to sneak up on them, so this one is a clear pick for the 49ers. They are great at home (4-1), while the Cardinals are terrible on the road (1-4), and maybe just plain terrible. Pick: Niners
Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons (-7) - I always like Matt Ryan and the Falcons when they are playing at home in the dome, so this one is essentially an automatic pick against an underwhelming Titans squad. Pick: Falcons
San Diego Chargers at Chicago Bears (-4) - The Bears defense has been mixing up coverages and letting their corners play some man-to-man in addition to the base Tampa-2 package, and this has lead to a bunch of game-changing turnovers over the least few weeks. The Chargers love to turn the ball over, and their defense is just porous enough to let Matt Forte run wild. Pick: Bears
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants - The Eagles have essentially been eliminated from the playoff picture, and I'm sure the talk in Philadelphia has been both distracting and depressing. The Eagles simply don't have much to play for at the moment, so I will side with the more motivated Giants. Pick: Giants
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-14.5) - This one has blowout written all over it now that Matt Cassel is out with an injury. Tom Brady and company have never been fond of showing mercy to wounded teams, so I see the three touchdown margin in this one. Pick: Pats
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